Sagacity Golf
Sagacity Golf Insights
Augusta National Golf Club · 27H
Demo · Illustrative data
Apr 2026 · refreshed 2 min ago
Augusta National Golf Club A N G C
April 2026 · Monthly Insights Report

Augusta National, April

27-hole semi-private · sample report Apr 1 – Apr 30, 2026 Peer set: 14 anonymized courses
12-Month Trend Lens 50/20 Power Hour Rule 14-Peer Distribution 3 Actions · +$6,650/mo
Revenue
$284.6K
+11.4% vs Mar
Strongest April on record
RevPAR
$42.61
+18.7% vs Mar
Driven by mix shift — not list rate
Occupancy
62.3%
+4.2 pp
11.5pp below top-quartile
ARPR
$68.40
+6.8% vs Mar
+$5.20 over peer median
Direct Mix
71%
+2.1 pp
6pp gap to top quartile (77%)
Executive Read

A structurally strong April —
headroom remains on weekday afternoons.

Sample report · generated from illustrative data · validated prompts

Augusta National posted its strongest April on record, with revenue reaching $284,612 — up 11.4% MoM and tracking +12.8% YoY on a trailing-twelve-month basis. The lift was unusual in shape: both rate and volume moved in the same direction, a pattern historically associated with the start of a multi-quarter outperformance window.

The mechanics behind the +18.7% RevPAR jump are not a price increase — they are a category mix shift. Premium share rose 24% → 31% as promotional discounting was pulled back, while occupancy climbed 4.2pp on the back of weekend morning fills. List rates were untouched.

Beneath the strong headline, two pockets of slack remain visible: weekday afternoons are soft (Tue–Wed 3–5 PM at 28% occupancy), and you sit 11.5pp below top-quartile on overall occupancy. Both are addressable without touching the premium rate ladder. Combined opportunity from the three vetted actions in this report is approximately +$6,650/month, captured over 60 days.

Headline Insight
Rate & volume both up
RevPAR mechanics: 1.068 × 1.111 ≈ 1.187. Same-direction movement on both levers is historically rare.
Margin Signal
Premium mix +7pp
Premium category lifted from 24% → 31% as promo share fell. Drives ARPR without changing list rate.
Open Opportunity
Tue/Wed 3–5 PM soft
28% occupancy in this window — well below peer median. Best lever for incremental volume.
Revenue Performance

Trailing twelve months

Source: ORCA fact_revenue · facility_id = COYOTE_MESA · 12-row monthly aggregate
MetricValueNote
April 2026 RevenueCURRENT$284,612Highest April on record
Trailing-12 Revenue$2.94M+12.8% YoY
August 2025 PeakPEAK$298,420Summer high · all-time monthly
January 2026 Trough$162,180−43% vs trailing 3-mo · seasonal
MoM Growth (Apr)+11.4%Outpaced peer median by 4.6pp
YoY Growth (Apr)+18.0%2nd consecutive strengthening Apr
Peer Set Beta0.82Lower volatility than peer median
Revenue Trajectory (USD)
$320K $240K $160K $80K May Jun Jul $298K Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec $162K Jan Feb Mar $285K Apr
Annual Run Rate
$3.42M
Based on Apr 2026 annualized · +16.3% vs prior year
Peer Set Position
P74
74th percentile across 14 anonymized peer courses
Forecast Confidence
92/100
Low volatility · long history · 27 months data
Acquisition & Retention

New golfers are up —
retention is the bigger opportunity.

Source: golfer_id × rounds ledger · 14-month cohort window · first-visit-to-repeat tracking

Acquisition is healthy: 312 new golfers picked up a tee time in April, the strongest spring intake in the cohort window. The leak is on the other side — only 34% of first-timers return within 90 days, and 418 previously-active golfers have gone quiet. Thor reads both sides of the funnel from the same rounds ledger, so growth and churn are scored together rather than in separate reports.

New Golfers · April
312+8.3% MoM
Strongest spring intake in 14-month window
90-Day Retention
68%−3pp QoQ
First-to-repeat conversion sits at 34% · peer benchmark 45%
At-Risk · Lapsed
418
Played 3+ rounds last year · no booking in 90+ days

New-golfer intake is up 8.3% month-over-month, led by direct channels — your own site and booking app now drive nearly half of all first visits, a healthy, low-cost mix versus peers who lean on OTAs.

Where revenue is leaking is the return trip. Just 34% of first-time golfers come back within 90 days, against a peer benchmark of 45%. And 418 golfers who played three or more rounds last year haven't booked in over 90 days — a recoverable book worth roughly $11K/month at their historical spend.

The math is concrete: reactivating 20% of the lapsed list adds about +$9,200/month, and lifting first-timer conversion toward peer levels adds another +$4,600/month — both addressed in the action plan below.

New-Golfer Acquisition Channels · April
Direct / App
48%
OTA / 3rd-party
27%
Referral
15%
Walk-in
10%
Direct mix is +12pp above peer median — a margin advantage worth protecting through retention.
Pricing Intelligence

Power Hours: 36% of slots, 50% of revenue.

Source: tee_sheet × revenue · 50/20 rule applied · validated against ORCA capacity table

Applying the 50/20 rule from your analytical framework, Thor identified 36% of active tee-time hours — concentrated on Saturday and Sunday mornings — that generate roughly half of monthly revenue. The current Augusta National ratio sits 16pp above the textbook 20% target, meaning the demand curve is steeper than average: lift-resistance on these slots is unusually low, and pricing headroom of $11–18 per round is supported by peer elasticity data.

Hour × Day Revenue Heatmap
April 2026 · Tue–Sun · 7am–8pm. Green-outlined cells are identified power hours.
SunSatFriThuWedTueMon
7a8a9a10a11a12p1p2p3p4p5p6p7p8p
Intensity
low → power hour
Power-Hour Share
36% +16pp vs target
Of total active hours · concentrated on weekend AM
Revenue Concentration
50%
Of monthly revenue generated in those hours · steep demand curve
Pricing Headroom
$11–18
Per round on power slots · <3% volume drop estimated
Competitive Benchmark

Top quartile on rate —
roughly mid-pack on utilization.

Peer set: 14 anonymized 27-hole semi-private courses

Against the peer set, Augusta National is $5.20 above peer median ARPR ($68.40 vs $63.20) and within $5.70 of top-quartile ARPR. On rate alone, you operate in the premium tier of the market.

Where the gap opens up is utilization. Top-quartile peers run 73.8% occupancy; you're at 62.3%. The 11.5pp delta is concentrated in Monday–Wednesday afternoons — 34% occupancy vs 51% for top-quartile peers. Closing half of this gap unlocks roughly +$5,400/month at your current rate ladder.

Direct booking mix is +10pp above peer median (71% vs 61%) — a strong margin signal that your retention and brand awareness work harder than the raw revenue suggests.

Occupancy Distribution
Where you sit among 14 peer courses
62.3%
40th percentile
40% 50% 60% 70% 80% MEDIAN 58.2% TOP Q 73.8% YOU 62.3%
Each dot = one peer course · curve shows density
Head-to-Head Across Metrics
Anonymized comparison vs three similar peers · grouped by strategic archetype
Course Strategy ARPR Occupancy RevPAR Direct Mix Premium Share
Augusta National YOU Rate-led $68.40 62.3% $42.61 71% 31%
Peer α Volume-led $58.90 71.8% $42.29 64% 18%
Peer β Premium-led $72.10 56.4% $40.66 73% 38%
Peer γ Balanced $63.50 65.2% $41.40 68% 26%
Peer median 14-course aggregate $63.20 58.2% $33.21 61% 24%
Top quartile Top performers $74.10 73.8% $48.30 77% 38%
Peer identities anonymized. Greek-letter labels reflect strategic archetype, not course identity. Bolded values mark the leader in each metric column.
Action Plan

Five vetted moves, ranked by impact.

Sample recommendations · estimated 60-day capture · 50% confidence model

Each recommendation is generated from your April data, then cross-checked against peer-set benchmarks. The two largest opportunities — winning back lapsed golfers and converting first-timers to repeat — sit on the retention side of the funnel. Estimated revenue impact assumes 50% capture within 60 days, a conservative model based on historical channel-partner rollouts.

01
High Impact · Retention

Win back 418 lapsed golfers

A book of 418 golfers who each played 3+ rounds last year has gone quiet for 90+ days. Thor has them segmented by historical spend and last-visit recency. A staged win-back offer through Sagacity Marketing — targeting the highest-value 20% first — typically reactivates that tier within 60 days. At their historical ARPR, that recovers roughly $9,200/month, the single largest line in this plan.

Est / month
+$9,200
~$110K annualized
02
High Impact · Low Effort

Lift power-hour pricing on weekend mornings

Saturday 8–10 AM and Sunday 7–9 AM consistently sell out within 6 days of slot release. Test a $11–18 lift on these slots through Sagacity Dynamic Pricing — peer elasticity in the equivalent rate band suggests volume drop of <3%, well below the breakeven threshold of 14%.

Est / month
+$8,400
~$100K annualized
03
Compounding · Acquisition

Convert first-timers into repeat golfers

Only 34% of new golfers return within 90 days, against a peer benchmark of 45%. With 312 new golfers arriving in April, closing half that gap is material. A timed second-visit incentive — triggered automatically 7–14 days after a first round through Sagacity Marketing — moves conversion toward peer levels and adds roughly $4,600/month in incremental repeat rounds.

Est / month
+$4,600
~$55K annualized
04
Medium Effort

Soft-hour campaign: Tue/Wed 3–5 PM

Mid-week afternoons sit at 28% occupancy, well below peer median of 47%. A targeted twilight unlimited promo through Sagacity Marketing — combined with the Tee Time Promote widget — typically lifts volume 30–40% in this specific window without cannibalizing premium slots. Lead-time data confirms these golfers are local, price-sensitive, and not crossing over to your weekend power-hour buyer profile.

Est / month
+$3,100
~$37K annualized
05
Compounding · Long-term

Shift 4% of OTA bookings to direct

You're 6pp below top quartile on direct booking mix (71% vs 77%). Targeted retargeting on previous-OTA bookers, plus the Sagacity Promote widget on your landing page, typically claws back 3–5pp within 60 days. Each 1pp shift away from OTA commission unlocks roughly $1,800/month at your ARPR — and the compounding effect over a year is materially larger.

Est / month
+$1,800
~$22K annualized
Combined Opportunity

If all five executed, captured at 50%

60-day rollout window · conservative confidence model

+$13,550 /month
Sagacity Insights April 2026 sample report · Augusta National Golf Club (demo) Updated daily · 12-month rolling history
Done